Table 2 Risk of incident AF according to DM duration and physical activity

Total

0

544,927

12,904

6.20

1 (Reference)

< 0.001

< 500

650,353

11,858

4.74

0.93 (0.90–0.95)

500–999

648,499

12,104

4.84

0.92 (0.90–0.95)

1000–1499

284,775

4625

4.18

0.87 (0.84–0.90)

≥ 1500

263,932

5183

5.07

0.90 (0.87–0.93)

New onset

0

151,684

2466

4.28

1 (Reference)

< 0.001

1 (Reference)

0.001

0.002

< 500

199,056

2300

3.03

0.90 (0.85–0.95)

0.90 (0.85–0.95)

500–999

195,121

2440

3.28

0.94 (0.89–0.99)

0.94 (0.89–0.99)

1000–1499

88,335

1004

2.97

0.88 (0.82–0.95)

0.88 (0.82–0.95)

≥ 1500

70,536

1100

4.07

1.01 (0.95–1.09)

1.01 (0.95–1.09)

< 5 years

0

150,864

3092

5.26

0.97 (0.916–1.02)

1 (Reference)

0.009

< 500

180,403

2897

4.11

0.90 (0.85–0.95)

0.93 (0.89–0.98)

500–999

175,075

2882

4.21

0.90 (0.85–0.95)

0.93 (0.88–0.98)

1000–1499

75,923

1135

3.80

0.88 (0.82–0.94)

0.91 (0.85–0.97)

≥ 1500

67,546

1146

4.33

0.88 (0.82–0.94)

0.91 (0.85–0.97)

5–9 years

0

10,769

2814

6.78

1.01 (0.95–1.062

1 (Reference)

< 0.001

< 500

124,166

2632

5.46

0.95 (0.90–1.00)

0.95 (0.90–1.00)

500–999

125,148

2675

5.49

0.95 (0.89–1.00)

0.94 (0.89–0.99)

1000–1499

54,732

944

4.40

0.83 (0.77–0.90)

0.83 (0.77–0.89)

≥ 1500

53,132

1093

5.26

0.88 (0.82–0.95)

0.88 (0.82–0.94)

≥ 10 years

0

134,687

4532

9.00

1.02 (0.97–1.07)

1 (Reference)

< 0.001

< 500

146,728

4029

7.22

0.94 (0.89–0.92)

0.92 (0.89–0.96)

500–999

153,155

4107

7.02

0.91 (0.87–0.96)

0.90 (0.86–0.94)

1000–1499

65,785

1542

6.08

0.88 (0.82–0.93)

0.86 (0.81–0.91)

≥ 1500

72,718

1844

6.60

0.87 (0.81–0.92)

0.85 (0.81–0.90)