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Table 4 Prediction accuracy and risk reclassification of each model

From: CT-derived fractional flow reserve for prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events in diabetic patients

Models

P Value by the Log-likelihood test

C-index (95%CI)

P Value

Time-dependent AUC

AIC

Brier score

1-year

3-year

1-year

3-year

Training set

Model 1

 < 0.001

0.80 (0.75–0.85)

0.021

0.82

0.82

801.08

0.011

0.026

Model 2

 

0.82 (0.77–0.87)

 

0.85

0.84

786.25

0.011

0.024

Internal validation set

Model 1

 < 0.001

0.80 (0.73–0.87)

0.022

0.80

0.84

384.64

0.025

0.039

Model 2

 

0.84 (0.77–0.90)

 

0.83

0.87

371.56

0.021

0.035

External test set

Model 1

 < 0.001

0.82(0.74–0.90)

0.027

0.89

0.82

328.27

0.017

0.031

Model 2

 

0.85(0.77–0.93)

 

0.92

0.87

313.06

0.015

0.025

  1. AIC, Akaike information criterion; C-index, Harrell’s C-statistics
  2. Model 1 included age, sex, BMI, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, current-smoking, fast glucose, HbA1c, Obstructive CAD, CACS, HRP, LAP, PR, SC and NRS
  3. Model 2 = Model 1 + CT-FFR