Table 3 Risk of incident cardiovascular disease and mortality by TyG index trajectory groups

Cardiovascular disease

 Low

32/1810 (1.8)

Reference

–

Reference

–

Reference

–

 Moderate

79/1910 (4.1)

2.23 (1.47, 3.39)

 < 0.001

1.58 (1.02, 2.45)

0.038

1.58 (1.02, 2.45)

0.039

 High

37/418 (8.9)

4.88 (2.98, 7.98)

 < 0.001

2.36 (1.35, 4.14)

0.002

2.35 (1.34, 4.12)

0.002

 p for trend

 < 0.001

0.001

0.005

All-cause mortality

 Low

45/1810 (2.5)

Reference

–

Reference

–

Reference

–

 Moderate

95/1910 (5.0)

1.87 (1.30, 2.69)

 < 0.001

1.80 (1.23, 2.62)

0.002

1.74 (1.19, 2.53)

0.003

 High

37/418 (8.9)

3.39 (2.15, 5.33)

 < 0.001

3.21 (1.93, 5.33)

 < 0.001

3.04 (1.83, 5.07)

 < 0.001

 p for trend

 < 0.001

 < 0.001

 < 0.001