Table 2 Association between tertiles of baseline, mean, and variability of TyG index and incidence of cardiovascular disease

Baseline TyG index

 No. of cases/population

594/16532

827/16521

983/16526

 Incidence rate per 1000 person-years

4.18

5.82

6.95

 Model 1^c

1 [Reference]

1.41 (1.27–1.56)

1.81 (1.64–2.01)

 Model 2^d

1 [Reference]

1.29 (1.15–1.44)

1.37 (1.22–1.54)

 Model 3^e

1 [Reference]

1.22 (1.09–1.37)

1.25 (1.11–1.42)

Mean TyG index

 No. of cases/population

548/16527

817/16526

1039/16526

 Incidence rate per 1000 person-years

3.85

5.75

7.35

 Model 1^c

1 [Reference]

1.49 (1.34–1.66)

2.00 (1.81–2.22)

 Model 2^d

1 [Reference]

1.33 (1.18–1.49)

1.51 (1.35–1.70)

 Model 3^e

1 [Reference]

1.26 (1.13–1.42)

1.40 (1.24–1.58)

TyG variability

 No. of cases/population

766/16527

794/16526

844/16526

 Incidence rate per 1000 person-years

5.03

5.59

5.94

 Model 1^c

1 [Reference]

1.07 (0.97–1.18)

1.19 (1.08–1.31)

 Model 2^d

1 [Reference]

1.03 (0.93–1.15)

1.13 (1.02–1.25)

 Model 3^e

1 [Reference]

1.04 (0.94–1.15)

1.13 (1.02–1.25)

 Model 4^f

1 [Reference]

1.04 (0.94–1.15)

1.12 (1.01–1.24)