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Table 3 Predictive performances of small HDL-P for CVD and all-cause mortality over RECODe model

From: High-density lipoprotein subclasses and cardiovascular disease and mortality in type 2 diabetes: analysis from the Hong Kong Diabetes Biobank

 

Incident CVD

All-cause mortality

RECODe model, C-statistic (95% CI)

0.760 (0.715, 0.805)

0.829 (0.789, 0.868)

+ Small HDL-P, C-statistic (95% CI)

0.770 (0.726, 0.813)

0.863 (0.826, 0.900)

Change in C-statistic (95% CI)

0.010 (− 0.001, 0.029)

0.034 (0.013, 0.055)

IDI for 5-year risk (95% CI)

0.017 (0.003, 0.038)

0.052 (0.014, 0.103)

Categorical NRI for 5-year risk (95% CI)

  

Case

− 0.041 (− 0.056, 0.087)

0.118 (− 0.026, 0.208)

Noncase

0.026 (− 0.009, 0.058)

0.038 (0.013, 0.067)

Overall

− 0.015 (− 0.047, 0.126)

0.156 (0.006, 0.252)

Continuous NRI for 5-year risk (95% CI)

  

Case

0.183 (0.052, 0.340)

0.224 (0.034, 0.421)

Non-case

0.099 (− 0.006, 0.205)

0.348 (0.163, 0.485)

Overall

0.282 (0.088, 0.486)

0.571 (0.246, 0.851)

  1. 95% CI estimated by 1000 times bootstrapping
  2. Risk cutoffs for categorical NRI: 5% and 10%
  3. RECODe model: age, sex, current smoking, systolic blood pressure, glycated hemoglobin, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, estimated glomerular filtration rate, ln (urinary albumin-creatinine ratio), antihypertensive drugs, statins and CVD history (for all-cause mortality)
  4. CI confidence interval; CVD cardiovascular disease; HDL-P high-density lipoprotein particles; IDI integrated discrimination improvement; NRI net reclassification improvement