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Table 3 Multivariable adjusted model output parameters using variables in the parsimonious risk score

From: Development and validation of a model to predict cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease

Variable

Parameter Estimate*

HR (95% CI)

p

Prior stroke

0.509145

1.66 (1.47–1.88)

< 0.0001

Age (per 10-year increase)

0.276077

1.32 (1.23–1.41)

< 0.0001

Chronic kidney disease

0.414291

1.51 (1.35–1.70)

< 0.0001

Prior myocardial infarction

0.377331

1.46 (1.31–1.62)

< 0.0001

Male

0.333232

1.40 (1.24–1.57)

< 0.0001

Heart failure

0.339297

1.40 (1.24–1.59)

< 0.0001

Insulin use

0.302525

1.35 (1.20–1.52)

< 0.0001

Atrial fibrillation or flutter

0.325465

1.38 (1.19–1.62)

< 0.0001

Any diabetes-specific microvascular comorbidity (blindness, amputation, foot ulcer, diabetic neuropathy, or retinopathy)

0.200567

1.22 (1.10–1.36)

0.0003

  1. *The baseline survival function is 0.9976 at 1 year, 0.9953 at 2 years, 0.9929 at 3 years, and 0.9905 at 4 years