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Table 3 Absolute risk difference (per 1000 population over 10 years) of cardiovascular disease by the baseline, mean, and variability of TyG index

From: Triglyceride-glucose index variability and incident cardiovascular disease: a prospective cohort study

  Predicted incidence per 1000 population over 10 yearsa Absolute risk difference per 1000 population over 10 yearsb
Baseline TyG index
 Tertile 1 51.2 (47.0 to 55.8) Reference
 Tertile 2 62.0 (57.9 to 66.3) 10.7 (4.8 to 16.7)
 Tertile 3 76.6 (67.3 to 87.1) 25.3 (12.0 to 38.6)
Mean TyG index
 Tertile 1 48.5 (44.4 to 53.0) Reference
 Tertile 2 60.5 (56.5 to 64.9) 12.0 (6.2 to 17.8)
 Tertile 3 82.8 (72.8 to 94.3) 34.3 (20.2 to 48.3)
TyG index variability
 Tertile 1 56.6 (52.8 to 60.8) Reference
 Tertile 2 58.7 (54.7 to 62.9) 2.1 (− 3.6 to 7.7)
 Tertile 3 63.0 (68.9 to 67.3) 6.3 (0.6 to 12.1)
  1. TyG: triglyceride-glucose
  2. aCalculated as CIFt=10 × 1000, where the predicted 10-year CIF (cumulative incidence function) of CVD was estimated from the flexible parametric survival models, which was standardized to the baseline variable (covariates in Model 3 for baseline and mean TyG index, and covariates in Model 4 for TyG index variability)
  3. bCalculated as the difference between the predicted incidence per 1000 population over 10 years across the baseline, mean, and variability of TyG index tertiles