Cost (US$) | QALYs or LYs | ICER (US$) | Probability of cost-effectiveness, dapagliflozin vs. standard care (%) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Add-on dapagliflozin | Standard care | \(\Delta\) Costs | Add-on dapagliflozin | Standard care | \(\Delta\) QALYs or \(\Delta \mathrm{LYs}\) | WTP at US$ 25,000 | WTP at US$ 75,000 | ||
Base-case analysis | |||||||||
QALY gain as effectiveness outcome | 87,805 | 76,501 | 11,304 | 11.03 | 10.09 | 0.94 | 12,035 | 99.3 | 100 |
LY gain as effectiveness outcome | 87,805 | 76,501 | 11,304 | 14.71 | 13.46 | 1.25 | 9,080 | 100 | 100 |
Scenario analyses | |||||||||
(1) Time horizon | |||||||||
30 years | 104,623 | 87,940 | 16,682 | 13.14 | 11.60 | 1.54 | 10,832 | 100 | 100 |
18 months | 16,719 | 15,732 | 987 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 0.03 | 37,386 | 43.8 | 61.8 |
(2) Discounting rate | |||||||||
0% | 104,288 | 90,112 | 14,176 | 13.1 | 11.89 | 1.21 | 11,681 | 100 | 100 |
10% | 62,215 | 55,130 | 7,085 | 7.82 | 7.27 | 0.54 | 13,007 | 97.3 | 100 |
(3) Under assumption of equal risk of clinical events between the two treatments | |||||||||
Cardiovascular death | 81,581 | 76,501 | 5,081 | 10.20 | 10.09 | 0.11 | 44,670 | 33 | 60.9 |
Non-cardiovascular death | 86,887 | 76,501 | 10,387 | 10.91 | 10.9 | 0.82 | 12,704 | 98.9 | 100 |
Hospitalization for HF | 87,995 | 76,501 | 11,444 | 11.03 | 10.09 | 0.94 | 12,204 | 99.6 | 100 |
Emergency visits for HF | 87,818 | 76,501 | 11,317 | 11.03 | 10.09 | 0.94 | 12,055 | 99.9 | 100 |
(4) Adverse events of treatments considered in the model | 88,074 | 76,727 | 11,347 | 10.95 | 10.02 | 0.92 | 12,288 | 99.3% | 100 |