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Table 3 The risk of atrial fibrillation according to the cumulative number of total MetS components diagnosed during four health examinations (0 to 20 times)

From: Cumulative burden of metabolic syndrome and its components on the risk of atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population-based study

The number of meeting individual components

No. of participants

AF

IR (1000PY)

HR (95% CI)

Model1

Model2

Model3

0

278,704

549

0.37

1.00 (Reference)

1.00 (Reference)

1.00 (Reference)

1

297,650

729

0.37

1.25 (1.12–1.39)

1.03 (0.92–1.15)

1.04 (0.93–1.16)

2

283,079

939

0.63

1.69 (1.52–1.88)

1.21 (1.09–1.34)

1.24 (1.11–1.38)

3

265,009

1007

0.72

1.94 (1.75–2.15)

1.23 (1.11–1.36)

1.27 (1.14–1.41)

4

263,875

1345

0.97

2.61 (2.36–2.88)

1.43 (1.30–1.58)

1.49 (1.35–1.65)

5

235,071

1342

1.08

2.92 (2.65–3.23)

1.47 (1.33–1.62)

1.54 (1.39–1.71)

6

210,455

1397

1.26

3.41 (3.09–3.76)

1.59 (1.44–1.75)

1.68 (1.52–1.87)

7

187,332

1427

1.45

3.92 (3.55–4.32)

1.72 (1.56–1.90)

1.84 (1.66–2.04)

8

173,024

1407

1.55

4.18 (3.79–4.62)

1.74 (1.58–1.93)

1.87 (1.68–2.08)

9

144,294

1282

1.70

4.58 (4.15–5.06)

1.85 (1.67–2.05)

2.00 (1.79–2.23)

10

122,156

1179

1.85

4.99 (4.50–5.52)

1.94 (1.75–2.15)

2.10 (1.88–2.34)

11

100,785

1046

1.99

5.37 (4.84–5.96)

2.03 (1.82–2.25)

2.20 (1.96–2.46)

12

89,005

980

2.11

5.70 (5.13–6.33)

2.07 (1.86–2.30)

2.24 (2.00–2.51)

13

68,103

855

2.41

6.51 (5.85–7.25)

2.29 (2.06–2.56)

2.49 (2.21–2.80)

14

52,236

723

2.66

7.19 (6.43–8.03)

2.46 (2.19–2.75)

2.66 (2.35–3.00)

15

38,764

572

2.84

7.67 (6.82–8.62)

2.57 (2.29–2.90)

2.78 (2.44–3.16)

16

32,590

556

3.29

8.88 (7.89–9.99)

2.81 (2.50–3.17)

3.04 (2.66–3.46)

17

17,981

316

3.39

9.16 (7.98–10.52)

2.87 (2.50–3.30)

3.03 (2.61–3.52)

18

11,711

204

3.36

9.07 (7.73–10.66)

2.81 (2.39–3.30)

2.93 (2.46–3.48)

19

7451

136

3.52

9.50 (7.87–11.46)

2.94 (2.43–3.55)

3.03 (2.48–3.69)

20

5914

121

3.97

10.73 (8.81–13.06)

3.15 (2.58–3.84)

3.11 (2.52–3.83)

    

p < 0.001

p < 0.001

p < 0.001

  1. Model 1 is unadjusted
  2. Model 2 is adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, alcohol intake, regular exercise, and low income
  3. Model 3 is adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, alcohol intake, regular exercise, low income, waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, logarithm of TG, and HDL-C level
  4. AF atrial fibrillation, IR incidence rate, PY person-years, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval