| n | Event | Patient*years | Incidence | Model 1 (95% CI) | Model 2 (95% CI) | Model 3 (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | |||||||
 BMI | |||||||
  < 18.5 | 374,501 | 5565 | 3,019,377 | 1.843 | 1.020 (0.993–1.049) | 1.055 (1.026–1.085) | 1.053 (1.025–1.083) |
  18.5–23 | 3,867,084 | 62,946 | 31,641,170 | 1.989 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
  23–25 | 2,423,219 | 50,163 | 19,850,785 | 2.527 | 1.125 (1.112–1.138) | 1.040 (1.028–1.052) | 1.042 (1.030–1.055) |
  25–30 | 2,795,090 | 68,242 | 22,864,770 | 2.985 | 1.290 (1.276–1.304) | 1.123 (1.111–1.136) | 1.128 (1.115–1.140) |
  30– | 337,524 | 9220 | 2,754,059 | 3.348 | 1.606 (1.572–1.642) | 1.327 (1.298–1.357) | 1.325 (1.296–1.354) |
 WC (M/F) | |||||||
  < 80/75 | 3,621,432 | 44,263 | 29,751,411 | 1.488 | 0.726 (0.717–0.736) | 0.829 (0.818–0.840) | 0.836 (0.825–0.848) |
  − 85/80 | 2,327,214 | 43,245 | 19,058,845 | 2.269 | 0.870 (0.859–0.882) | 0.921 (0.909–0.934) | 0.927 (0.915–0.939) |
  − 90/85 | 1,936,668 | 46,009 | 15,812,732 | 2.910 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
  − 95/90 | 1,134,028 | 33,661 | 9,219,448 | 3.651 | 1.148 (1.132–1.164) | 1.096 (1.080–1.111) | 1.092 (1.076–1.107) |
  − 100/95 | 504,432 | 17,713 | 4,085,267 | 4.336 | 1.252 (1.230–1.274) | 1.176 (1.155–1.196) | 1.162 (1.142–1.183) |
  ≥ 100/95 | 273,644 | 11,245 | 2,202,458 | 5.106 | 1.615 (1.582–1.649) | 1.410 (1.381–1.440) | 1.369 (1.341–1.398) |
Non-diabetic + IFG | |||||||
 BMI | |||||||
  < 18.5 | 361,941 | 5055 | 2,931,149 | 1.725 | 1.034 (1.004–1.064) | 1.056 (1.025–1.087) | 1.058 (1.028–1.089) |
  18.5–23 | 3,653,082 | 54,833 | 29,975,508 | 1.829 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
  23–25 | 2,206,558 | 41,998 | 18,127,691 | 2.317 | 1.129 (1.114–1.143) | 1.050 (1.036–1.063) | 1.049 (1.036–1.062) |
  25–30 | 2,453,625 | 54,545 | 20,131,059 | 2.709 | 1.288 (1.273–1.303) | 1.134 (1.120–1.148) | 1.133 (1.119–1.147) |
  30– | 279,364 | 6663 | 2,287,495 | 2.913 | 1.541 (1.502–1.581) | 1.309 (1.275–1.343) | 1.294 (1.261–1.327) |
 WC (M/F) | |||||||
  < 80/75 | 3,490,482 | 40,229 | 28,724,841 | 1.401 | 0.727 (0.717–0.737) | 0.820 (0.808–0.832) | 0.833 (0.821–0.845) |
  − 85/80 | 2,148,892 | 37,280 | 17,642,987 | 2.113 | 0.872 (0.859–0.884) | 0.918 (0.905–0.931) | 0.926 (0.913–0.940) |
  − 90/85 | 1,722,709 | 37,924 | 14,109,867 | 2.688 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
  − 95/90 | 968,520 | 26,661 | 7,904,775 | 3.373 | 1.154 (1.136–1.172) | 1.107 (1.089–1.124) | 1.101 (1.083–1.118) |
  − 100/95 | 412,804 | 13,266 | 3,359,409 | 3.949 | 1.244 (1.219–1.269) | 1.185 (1.161–1.208) | 1.163 (1.140–1.186) |
  ≥ 100/95 | 211,163 | 7734 | 1,711,022 | 4.520 | 1.594 (1.556 –1.634) | 1.418 (1.384–1.454) | 1.365 (1.332–1.399) |
Diabetic | |||||||
 BMI | |||||||
  < 18.5 | 12,560 | 510 | 88,228 | 5.780 | 1.096 (1.002–1.198) | 1.119 (1.024–1.224) | 1.100 (1.006–1.203) |
  18.5–23 | 214,002 | 8113 | 1,665,662 | 4.871 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
  23–25 | 216,661 | 8165 | 1,723,094 | 4.739 | 0.993 (0.963–1.024) | 0.970 (0.940–1.000) | 0.972 (0.942–1.002) |
  25–30 | 341,465 | 13,697 | 2,733,711 | 5.010 | 1.104 (1.074–1.134) | 1.053 (1.024–1.082) | 1.054 (1.025–1.084) |
  30– | 58,160 | 2557 | 466,564 | 5.480 | 1.486 (1.421–1.554) | 1.362 (1.301–1.425) | 1.341 (1.282–1.403) |
 WC (M/F) | |||||||
  < 80/75 | 130,950 | 4034 | 1,026,570 | 3.930 | 0.920 (0.886–0.955) | 0.963 (0.927–1.001) | 0.965 (0.929–1.003) |
  − 85/80 | 178,322 | 5965 | 1,415,858 | 4.213 | 0.925 (0.895–0.957) | 0.945 (0.914–0.977) | 0.949 (0.917–0.981) |
  − 90/85 | 213,959 | 8085 | 1,702,865 | 4.748 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
  − 95/90 | 165,508 | 7000 | 1,314,673 | 5.325 | 1.084 (1.050–1.119) | 1.062 (1.029–1.097) | 1.054 (1.021–1.089) |
  − 100/95 | 91,628 | 4447 | 725,857 | 6.127 | 1.187 (1.144–1.232) | 1.156 (1.114–1.200) | 1.150 (1.108–1.193) |
  ≥ 100/95 | 62,481 | 3511 | 491,435 | 7.144 | 1.503 (1.445–1.565) | 1.419 (1.363–1.477) | 1.371 (1.317–1.427) |