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Table 3 Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values at selected risk scores and the probability of heart failure over 5 years of follow-up in the test dataset

From: Development and validation of a risk score for hospitalization for heart failure in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Risk score cutoff point* Predicted probability of heart failure Sensitivity Specificity Positive predictive value Negative predictive value
  Women Men     
2.5606 0.0131 0.0129 0.980 0.571 0.429 0.086
3.0776 0.0216 0.0213 0.954 0.685 0.315 0.111
3.3153 0.0272 0.0267 0.929 0.726 0.274 0.122
3.4683† 0.0315 0.0310 0.905 0.756 0.244 0.132
3.5859 0.0353 0.0346 0.896 0.777 0.223 0.142
3.6385 0.0371 0.0364 0.883 0.786 0.214 0.145
3.9032 0.0477 0.0469 0.873 0.827 0.173 0.172
3.9644 0.0506 0.0497 0.851 0.837 0.163 0.177
4.1012 0.0576 0.0566 0.831 0.857 0.143 0.193
4.2309 0.0651 0.0640 0.821 0.877 0.123 0.216
4.3201 0.0708 0.0696 0.786 0.887 0.113 0.222
4.4208 0.0778 0.0765 0.727 0.894 0.106 0.220
4.5334† 0.0864 0.0849 0.711 0.904 0.096 0.234
4.6189 0.0936 0.0920 0.698 0.914 0.086 0.250
4.7414 0.1048 0.1030 0.662 0.923 0.077 0.261
4.8633 0.1172 0.1152 0.607 0.931 0.069 0.266
5.0962 0.1448 0.1424 0.551 0.950 0.050 0.311
5.4119 0.1916 0.1886 0.437 0.966 0.034 0.345
  1. *, Calculated using the risk score equation; **, Calculated using the 5-year heart failure probability; †, The suggested cutoff points.