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Table 3 Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values at selected risk scores and the probability of heart failure over 5 years of follow-up in the test dataset

From: Development and validation of a risk score for hospitalization for heart failure in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Risk score cutoff point*

Predicted probability of heart failure

Sensitivity

Specificity

Positive predictive value

Negative predictive value

 

Women

Men

    

2.5606

0.0131

0.0129

0.980

0.571

0.429

0.086

3.0776

0.0216

0.0213

0.954

0.685

0.315

0.111

3.3153

0.0272

0.0267

0.929

0.726

0.274

0.122

3.4683†

0.0315

0.0310

0.905

0.756

0.244

0.132

3.5859

0.0353

0.0346

0.896

0.777

0.223

0.142

3.6385

0.0371

0.0364

0.883

0.786

0.214

0.145

3.9032

0.0477

0.0469

0.873

0.827

0.173

0.172

3.9644

0.0506

0.0497

0.851

0.837

0.163

0.177

4.1012

0.0576

0.0566

0.831

0.857

0.143

0.193

4.2309

0.0651

0.0640

0.821

0.877

0.123

0.216

4.3201

0.0708

0.0696

0.786

0.887

0.113

0.222

4.4208

0.0778

0.0765

0.727

0.894

0.106

0.220

4.5334†

0.0864

0.0849

0.711

0.904

0.096

0.234

4.6189

0.0936

0.0920

0.698

0.914

0.086

0.250

4.7414

0.1048

0.1030

0.662

0.923

0.077

0.261

4.8633

0.1172

0.1152

0.607

0.931

0.069

0.266

5.0962

0.1448

0.1424

0.551

0.950

0.050

0.311

5.4119

0.1916

0.1886

0.437

0.966

0.034

0.345

  1. *, Calculated using the risk score equation; **, Calculated using the 5-year heart failure probability; †, The suggested cutoff points.