Risk score cutoff point*
|
Predicted probability of heart failure
|
Sensitivity
|
Specificity
|
Positive predictive value
|
Negative predictive value
|
---|
|
Women
|
Men
| | | | |
---|
2.5606
|
0.0131
|
0.0129
|
0.980
|
0.571
|
0.429
|
0.086
|
3.0776
|
0.0216
|
0.0213
|
0.954
|
0.685
|
0.315
|
0.111
|
3.3153
|
0.0272
|
0.0267
|
0.929
|
0.726
|
0.274
|
0.122
|
3.4683†
|
0.0315
|
0.0310
|
0.905
|
0.756
|
0.244
|
0.132
|
3.5859
|
0.0353
|
0.0346
|
0.896
|
0.777
|
0.223
|
0.142
|
3.6385
|
0.0371
|
0.0364
|
0.883
|
0.786
|
0.214
|
0.145
|
3.9032
|
0.0477
|
0.0469
|
0.873
|
0.827
|
0.173
|
0.172
|
3.9644
|
0.0506
|
0.0497
|
0.851
|
0.837
|
0.163
|
0.177
|
4.1012
|
0.0576
|
0.0566
|
0.831
|
0.857
|
0.143
|
0.193
|
4.2309
|
0.0651
|
0.0640
|
0.821
|
0.877
|
0.123
|
0.216
|
4.3201
|
0.0708
|
0.0696
|
0.786
|
0.887
|
0.113
|
0.222
|
4.4208
|
0.0778
|
0.0765
|
0.727
|
0.894
|
0.106
|
0.220
|
4.5334†
|
0.0864
|
0.0849
|
0.711
|
0.904
|
0.096
|
0.234
|
4.6189
|
0.0936
|
0.0920
|
0.698
|
0.914
|
0.086
|
0.250
|
4.7414
|
0.1048
|
0.1030
|
0.662
|
0.923
|
0.077
|
0.261
|
4.8633
|
0.1172
|
0.1152
|
0.607
|
0.931
|
0.069
|
0.266
|
5.0962
|
0.1448
|
0.1424
|
0.551
|
0.950
|
0.050
|
0.311
|
5.4119
|
0.1916
|
0.1886
|
0.437
|
0.966
|
0.034
|
0.345
|
- *, Calculated using the risk score equation; **, Calculated using the 5-year heart failure probability; †, The suggested cutoff points.