Table 5 Expected twenty years incidence of cardiovascular complications and life expectancy by gender, time of evolution and age of diagnosis
| Complication | Probability (95% CI) | Expected Cases (95% CI) | Probability (95% CI) | Expected Cases (95% CI) | Probability (CI95%) | Expected Cases* (CI95%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Women
n = 3,931,127 |
Time evolution
≤ 10 years n = 6,652,964 |
Age at diagnosis
≤ 40 years n = 2,590,066 | ||||
| Ischemic heart |
0.095 (0.066-0.124) |
373,457 (259,454-487,460) |
0.117 (0.089-0.145) |
778,397 (592,114-964,680) |
0.087 (0.060-0.115) |
225,336 (155,404-297,858) |
| Myocardial infarction |
0.196 (0.142-0.249) |
770,501 (558,220-978,851) |
0.264 (0.223-0.305) |
1,756,382 (1,483,611-2,029,154) |
0.129 (0.096-0.162) |
334,119 (248,646-419,591) |
| Heart failure |
0.127 (0.072-0.183) |
499,253 (283,041-719,396) |
0.107 (0.065-0.148) |
711,867 (432,443-984,639) |
0.037 (0.016-0.058) |
95,832 (41,441-150,224) |
| Cerebrovascular disease |
0.093 (0.063-0.122) |
365,595 (247,661-479,597) |
0.097 (0.068-0.126) |
645,338 (452,402-838,273) |
0.030 (0.003-0.057) |
77,702 (7,770-147,634) |
| Amputation |
0.065 (0.040-0.089) |
255,523 (157,245-349,870) |
0.058 (0.040-0.077) |
385,872 (266,119-512,278) |
0.065 (0.036-0.094) |
168,354 (93,242-243,466) |
| Death |
0.531 (0.498-0.565) |
2,087,428 (1,957,701-2,221,087) |
0.467 (0.435-0.499) |
3,106,934 (2,894,039-3,319,829) |
0.283 (0.250-0.317) |
7,332,989 (647,517-821,051) |
|
Men
n = 3,961,850 |
Time evolution
> 10 years n = 1,240,012 |
Age at diagnosis
> 40 years n = 5,302,911 | ||||
| Ischemic heart disease |
0.136 (0.102-0.170) |
538,812 (404,109-673,515) |
0.080 (0.050-0.110) |
99,201 (62,001-136,401) |
0.122 (0.091-0.152) |
646,955 (482,565-806,042) |
| Myocardial infarction |
0.352 (0.315-0.390) |
1,394,571 (1,247,983-1,545,122) |
0.231 (0.161-0.301) |
286,443 (199,642-372,244) |
0.315 (0.260-0.370) |
1,670,417 (1,378,757-1,962,077) |
| Heart failure |
0.091 (0.053-0.128) |
360,528 (209,978-507,117) |
0.148 (0.056-0.241) |
183,522 (69,441-298,843) |
0.145 (0.085-0.204) |
768,922 (450,747-1,081,794) |
| Cerebrovascular disease |
0.112 (0.074-0.149) |
443,727 (293,177-590,316) |
0.120 (0.065-0.175) |
148,801 (80,601-217,002) |
0.131 (0.094-0.168) |
694,681 (498,474-890,889) |
| Amputation |
0.059 (0.039-0.079) |
233,749 (154,512-312,986) |
0.088 (0.037-0.139) |
109,121 (45,880-172,362) |
0.062 (0.041-0.082) |
328,780 (217,419-434,839) |
| Death |
0.550 (0.522-0.578) |
2,179,018 (2,068,086-2,289,949) |
0.956 (0.928-0.984) |
1,185,451 (1,150,731-1,220,172) |
0.647 (0.612-0.681) |
3,430,983 (3,245,382-3,611,282) |
