Skip to main content

Table 5 Expected twenty years incidence of cardiovascular complications and life expectancy by gender, time of evolution and age of diagnosis

From: Estimated incidence of cardiovascular complications related to type 2 diabetes in Mexico using the UKPDS outcome model and a population-based survey

Complication Probability (95% CI) Expected Cases (95% CI) Probability (95% CI) Expected Cases (95% CI) Probability (CI95%) Expected Cases* (CI95%)
  Women
n = 3,931,127
Time evolution
≤ 10 years
n = 6,652,964
Age at diagnosis
≤ 40 years
n = 2,590,066
Ischemic heart 0.095
(0.066-0.124)
373,457
(259,454-487,460)
0.117
(0.089-0.145)
778,397
(592,114-964,680)
0.087
(0.060-0.115)
225,336
(155,404-297,858)
Myocardial infarction 0.196
(0.142-0.249)
770,501
(558,220-978,851)
0.264
(0.223-0.305)
1,756,382
(1,483,611-2,029,154)
0.129
(0.096-0.162)
334,119
(248,646-419,591)
Heart failure 0.127
(0.072-0.183)
499,253
(283,041-719,396)
0.107
(0.065-0.148)
711,867
(432,443-984,639)
0.037
(0.016-0.058)
95,832
(41,441-150,224)
Cerebrovascular disease 0.093
(0.063-0.122)
365,595
(247,661-479,597)
0.097
(0.068-0.126)
645,338
(452,402-838,273)
0.030
(0.003-0.057)
77,702
(7,770-147,634)
Amputation 0.065
(0.040-0.089)
255,523
(157,245-349,870)
0.058
(0.040-0.077)
385,872
(266,119-512,278)
0.065
(0.036-0.094)
168,354
(93,242-243,466)
Death 0.531
(0.498-0.565)
2,087,428
(1,957,701-2,221,087)
0.467
(0.435-0.499)
3,106,934
(2,894,039-3,319,829)
0.283
(0.250-0.317)
7,332,989
(647,517-821,051)
  Men
n = 3,961,850
Time evolution
> 10 years
n = 1,240,012
Age at diagnosis
> 40 years
n = 5,302,911
Ischemic heart disease 0.136
(0.102-0.170)
538,812
(404,109-673,515)
0.080
(0.050-0.110)
99,201
(62,001-136,401)
0.122
(0.091-0.152)
646,955
(482,565-806,042)
Myocardial infarction 0.352
(0.315-0.390)
1,394,571
(1,247,983-1,545,122)
0.231
(0.161-0.301)
286,443
(199,642-372,244)
0.315
(0.260-0.370)
1,670,417
(1,378,757-1,962,077)
Heart failure 0.091
(0.053-0.128)
360,528
(209,978-507,117)
0.148
(0.056-0.241)
183,522
(69,441-298,843)
0.145
(0.085-0.204)
768,922
(450,747-1,081,794)
Cerebrovascular disease 0.112
(0.074-0.149)
443,727
(293,177-590,316)
0.120
(0.065-0.175)
148,801
(80,601-217,002)
0.131
(0.094-0.168)
694,681
(498,474-890,889)
Amputation 0.059
(0.039-0.079)
233,749
(154,512-312,986)
0.088
(0.037-0.139)
109,121
(45,880-172,362)
0.062
(0.041-0.082)
328,780
(217,419-434,839)
Death 0.550
(0.522-0.578)
2,179,018
(2,068,086-2,289,949)
0.956
(0.928-0.984)
1,185,451
(1,150,731-1,220,172)
0.647
(0.612-0.681)
3,430,983
(3,245,382-3,611,282)